Safari Intelligence

When to go, and why.

Not brochure claims — scores computed from three years of rainfall and temperature at each park, matched against the safaris that actually go there.

Great Migration Tracker

Where the herds are now

1.5 million wildebeest, moving in a continuous loop through the Serengeti–Mara ecosystem.

Northern Serengeti Pushing north · Jul
🐃
Jan Ndutu & southern plains
Feb Ndutu & southern plains
Mar Southern Serengeti
Apr Central Serengeti
May Western Corridor
Jun Grumeti River
Jul Northern Serengeti
Aug Mara River & the north
Sep Maasai Mara & north Serengeti
Oct Lobo & Loliondo
Nov Eastern & central Serengeti
Dec Southern Serengeti & Ndutu

The vanguard reaches the Mara River. First crossings, depending entirely on the rains.

The herds do not read calendars. This is driven by rainfall, not dates — they routinely run weeks early or late, and in a dry year they'll reach the Mara in early July. This is the typical pattern the evidence supports, and a strong basis for planning. It is not a schedule, and anyone selling you guaranteed river crossings on a fixed date is selling you something they cannot deliver.

Itinerary generator

Tell it what you want. It plans the trip.

It scores every park for your month, then builds a route — weighing each park's quality against the hours it costs to drive there — allocates nights, and prices it against 29 of our own published safaris.

Species Intelligence

What you're actually going to see

Conservation status from the IUCN Red List, with the assessment year — so you can check us. Where a reliable population estimate doesn't exist, we say so rather than invent one.

African Savanna Elephant

Loxodonta africana
Endangered

IUCN split the African elephant into two species in 2021 and uplisted the savanna elephant to Endangered. Sites still calling it "Vulnerable" are quoting an assessment that no longer stands.

Population ~415,000
Trend Declining
Source IUCN 2021

Cheetah

Acinonyx jubatus
Vulnerable

The Serengeti–Mara landscape holds one of the world's most important populations. Cheetah need open country and lose kills to lions and hyena, so they favour the short-grass plains.

Population ~6,500 mature
Trend Declining
Source IUCN

Leopard

Panthera pardus
Vulnerable

No reliable continent-wide population estimate exists — they are nocturnal, solitary and superbly cryptic. Any site quoting you a precise leopard count is guessing.

Population No reliable estimate
Trend Declining
Source IUCN

Black Rhinoceros

Diceros bicornis
Critically Endangered

Critically Endangered, but slowly recovering from a low of about 2,400 in the 1990s — one of conservation's genuine, hard-won wins. The Ngorongoro Crater is among the most reliable places to see one.

Population ~6,400
Trend Increasing
Source IUCN

Mountain Gorilla

Gorilla beringei beringei
Endangered

Downlisted from Critically Endangered to Endangered in 2018 after the population passed a thousand. Numbers are rising — the only great ape of which that is true.

Population ~1,063
Trend Increasing
Source IUCN 2018 census

Chimpanzee

Pan troglodytes
Endangered

The Mahale and Gombe populations are among the most-studied wild chimpanzees on earth, thanks to research that has run continuously for over sixty years.

Population ~180,000–250,000
Trend Declining
Source IUCN

The whole year

Game-viewing matrix

Destination Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Serengeti National Park 52 90 56 25 78 100 100 95 84 83 35 37
Prime — driest, animals concentrated Good — shoulder conditions Green — wettest, thicker bush, wildlife dispersed

Hiking & Trekking Intelligence

Altitude is the challenge — not fitness

Mount Kilimanjaro

Kilimanjaro Region

5,895m Summit
Below altitude threshold 0–2,500m Altitude illness is uncommon here. Your body acclimatises without special effort.
High altitude 2,500–3,500m AMS becomes possible. Ascent rate starts to matter more than fitness.
Very high altitude 3,500–5,500m AMS is common. Sleeping height should rise slowly; descend if symptoms worsen.
Extreme altitude 5,500–5,895m The body cannot fully acclimatise. Time spent here is deliberately short.
10 days Minimum sensible itinerary Derived from the summit height at a safe rate of ascent (≤500m sleeping gain per night above 3,000m, with rest days). Shorter trips exist — they simply trade safety margin for time.
Jul, Jun, Aug, Feb Driest months on the mountain Precipitation modelled at summit elevation — rain low down means snow and whiteout high up.
-11.3°C Summit low in Jul Modelled at 5,895m. Wind chill on summit night will make it feel considerably colder.

Mount Kilimanjaro is a large dormant volcano in Tanzania. It is the highest mountain in Africa and the highest free-standing mountain above sea level in the world, at 5,895 m (19,341 ft) above sea level and… Wikipedia (CC BY-SA)

What the numbers can't tell you

  • Altitude sickness doesn't care how fit you are. Strong, young trekkers turn back regularly, often because their fitness let them ascend too fast. Ascent rate is the variable you control.
  • Longer routes work better — not because they're easier, but because they give you more nights to acclimatise. If your budget forces a choice between a longer trek and a fancier camp, take the extra days.
  • Descend when symptoms worsen. Headache and nausea are common and usually manageable; confusion, breathlessness at rest, or loss of coordination are not — those mean go down, immediately.
  • We don't publish summit success rates. Every operator's figures are self-reported and unverifiable, so ours would be too.

Treks & climbs we run

Mountains →
14 Days

14-Day Grand Tanzania (Safari + Kilimanjaro + Zanzibar)

From $5,000 pp

View Itinerary →
10 Days

10-Day Tanzania Safari + Rwanda Gorilla Trekking

From $7,000 pp

View Itinerary →

How these numbers are made

Every score on this page is computed, not asserted. For each park we pull three years of daily rainfall and temperature from the Open-Meteo historical archive, average it by month, and score each month relative to that park's own driest and wettest months — because 80mm is a dry month in a rainforest and a wet one in a semi-desert.

Dryness carries 75% of the weight and heat 25%. The reasoning is mechanical rather than mystical: as surface water dries up, animals concentrate around what's left, and thinning vegetation means you can see them. We show the underlying millimetres next to every score so you can disagree with our weighting and still use the data.

Peak elevations come from Wikidata; summit conditions are modelled at the true summit height. Acclimatisation estimates apply standard altitude-medicine guidance to that height. Where we have no data — summit success rates, migration river-crossing dates — we say so instead of guessing.

Ready to Plan Your Safari?

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